And in 24th place, with a score of 1,831, is the Nature paper “The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet”. “We would probably need, like, a 20 percent reduction for the whole year—so every month, for the whole world, like April. Across the Top 25 papers identified here, the journal that features most frequently is Nature, with six papers in total. As normal life was turned upside down, newspaper headlines and social media conversations were dominated by lockdowns, vaccines and infection rates. But what this experience does show is when humanity is united around a goal, big changes can happen on short time scales.”, Photograph by Bartek Sadowski, Bloomberg/Getty Images, Plunge in carbon emissions from lockdowns will not slow climate change, https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/05/plunge-in-carbon-emissions-lockdowns-will-not-slow-climate-change.html, Mauna Loa long-term monitoring project of atmospheric CO, In 2018, for example, concentrations rose by 2.5 parts per million, start dropping by about 7.6 percent each year, See how your city might change by 2070 if climate change isn’t addressed. The main cause of the changes seems to be a relatively rapid increase in average wind strengths over the Southern Ocean, Le Quéré and her team report. At the moments of the most restrictive and extensive lockdowns, emissions in some countries hovered nearly 30 percent below last year’s averages, says Glen Peters, one of the authors of the Nature Climate Change analysis and a climate scientist at Norway’s Center for International Climate Research. See More Betts and his colleagues run a model that makes these predictions for the coming year. It concludes that “recovery rates across studies suggest that substantial recovery of the abundance, structure and function of marine life could be achieved by 2050, if major pressures – including climate change – are mitigated”. 2021 National Geographic Partners, LLC. It was mentioned in 715 online news stories by 398 outlets, in 109 posts from 63 blogs, and in more than 4,000 tweets – the most of any climate paper published last year for these categories. It affects literally everyone on the planet,” says Anna Michalak, a scientist at Stanford’s Carnegie Institution for Science. “In a way, it’s hard to mentally reconcile that with just a small difference in emissions; it seems almost dismissive. It was the Nature Climate Change paper, “Temporary reduction in daily global CO2 emissions during the Covid-19 forced confinement”, by Prof Corinne Le Quéré, a Royal Society research professor of climate change science at the University of East Anglia, and colleagues. Experts: How do diets need to change to meet climate targets? But it also shouldn’t be taken as an indication that efforts would be futile. The study finds that major tropical cyclones – category 3 or higher – have become 15% more likely at a global level between 1979 and 2017. The finding that the world’s oceans could be restored within 30 years generated headlines in the Guardian, Press Association, BBC News, i newspaper and MailOnline, and was the subject of an editorial in the Times. ARTICLES NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE followed by a growth in emissions of +5.1% in 201020, well above the long-term average. Cars sat in driveways. The paper was covered by 229 online news stories from 175 outlets across the world, including the New York Times, USA Today, CNN, Guardian, BBC News, Independent, Sun, Times of India, South China Morning Post and Der Spiegel. Winds of change. “The message shouldn’t be: It’s too hard,” he says. In ninth position is the 2020 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change, focusing on “responding to converging crises”, which has an Altmetric score of 2,468. Last year was truly extraordinary for press and social media attention of scientific journal papers. About 45 percent of the world’s CO2 waste generally comes from making heat and power. That change translated into a big effect on emissions, because driving makes up a bigger piece of the normal CO2-waste pie. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0013-9. However, because the paper is an invited commentary rather than a traditional research paper, it isn’t included in Carbon Brief’s leaderboard. Each year, the average concentration gets higher. SOURCE: Le Quéré et al. Thanks. Then follows three journals with two papers each – PNAS, Communications Earth & Environment, and Science – and then nine journals with one paper in the Top 25. So that record concentration of 418 parts per million? I Chair France's High Council on climate and am a member of the UK Committee on Climate Change. Coronavirus: What could lifestyle changes mean for tackling climate change? The team also expected that at its seasonal low in September, it would be around 410 parts per million. In individual nations, emissions decreased by an average of 26% at the peak of … Concerning, and often accelerating, trends were seen for each of the human symptoms of climate change monitored, with the 2020 indicators presenting the most worrying outlook reported since The Lancet Countdown was first established.”. Looking a little further down the leaderboard, in 18th place is the Nature paper “Asynchronous carbon sink saturation in African and Amazonian tropical forests”, with a score of 1,992. “You can’t tackle climate change with behavior change alone,” Le Quéré says. The study featured in 739 online news articles from 405 outlets, including the New York Times, Washington Post, New Scientist, CNN and USA Today. Factcheck: How electric vehicles help to tackle climate change. This year’s emissions drop is right around 8 percent. By entering your email address you agree for your data to be handled in accordance with our Privacy Policy. Their forecasts are usually remarkably accurate. And thousands of newly published peer-reviewed climate papers vied for media attention throughout the year. Le Quéré et al. Still, for energy and climate expert Constantine Samaras, the message is clear: Just because this devasting pandemic has only a small impact on today’s CO2 levels doesn’t mean the climate crisis is lost. Samaras says that in no way represents what a concerted global effort to actually hit that goal would do. Landing in eighth place is another polar paper – “Fasting season length sets temporal limits for global polar bear persistence”. We can’t just sweep it away.”. The study comes in with a score of 2,784. (There is also a second study on tropical cyclones in the Top 25. She is the chair of the French High Council on Climate The research finds that retreating glaciers resulted in a “step-change” in Greenland ice sheet melt in the early 2000s and a “switch to a new dynamic state of sustained mass loss that would persist even under a decline in surface melt”. Receive a Daily or Weekly summary of the most important articles direct to your inbox, just enter your email below. The new study published in the journal Nature Climate Change found that as countries closed schools and businesses and issued stay-at-home orders last month to contain Covid-19—triggering a worldwide economic crisis—daily global emissions fell to levels not seen since 2006. ‪CICERO Center for International Climate Research‬ - ‪Cited by 12,368‬ - ‪Global fossil CO2 emissions‬ But, as with many aspects of 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic soon took centre stage. “This pandemic—it’s tragic,” says Michalak. The 2020 report “tracks the relationship between health and climate change across five key domains and over 40 indicators”. Papers that passed this milestone Antarctica according to levels of global warming the final prediction, for the over., LLC deadly global nature climate change le quéré, millions of people who could stay at home did just.. 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